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As such, analysts aren’t worried about the direct impact of tariffs on the companies’ bottom lines. “These price increases provide a case in point: the first level impact of tariffs will be negligible,” Bernstein analyst Luca Solca wrote in a note. “Mega-brands like Louis Vuitton in particular remain highly desirable and command clear pricing power. Given that tariffs are also applied to transfer prices, we expect price increases to fall within the 5 to 7 per cent like-for-like price inflation the industry has seen over the past 50 years.” What’s more concerning, analysts say, is the knock-on impact of the uncertainty tariffs create globally, which has an impact on the stock market, on currencies and on the macroeconomy. This wealth erosion is set to have a ripple effect on luxury consumption — though it’s too early to quantify the extent of the impact.Nice Sleeping Is My Drug My Bed Is My Dealer And My Alarm Clock Is The Police Shirt
LVMH said sales in North America dropped 3 per cent in the first quarter, from being up 3 per cent in Q4 2024. However, the company remains bullish. “In March, except for softer demand in beauty and a continued soft demand in cognac, the rest was holding pretty well and sometimes better than sequentially last year,” LVMH CFO Cécile Cabanis said. Should brands worry about a slump in consumer confidence? “What it tells us is that there’s a lag between when things happen and when it affects luxury,” says Rambourg. “There’s less of a lag if you’re looking at everyday consumption products. People are a bit more jittery or nervous if they’re more affected by inflationary pressures. But in luxury, my interpretation is: it will happen, the slowdown of the American cluster will happen, it’s just a question of time.” To mitigate the impact, experts say brands should fine-tune their strategies in terms of product assortment and perceived value.
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